Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3048…7537
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$36
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses20 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)51 / 52
History coverage3d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day73.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 94¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 56¢ 6¢ $14 $1 −$13 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$49
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -22.9% -30.3% 39% 33% -18.7%
≤30d 51 -22.9% -30.3% 39% 33% -18.7%
≤90d 51 -22.9% -30.3% 39% 33% -18.7%
all 51 -22.9% -30.3% 39% 33% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.3% 33% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 29% -26.4%
15% -43.0% 25% -33.6%
20% -48.6% 12% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.97 · official $16.26 · 222 history records