Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x303a…33f8
crypto · 161 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$83 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses100 / 61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)161 / 161
History coverage37d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$53
14 days+$47
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$24 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$24 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$22 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$20 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$19 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$17 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$20 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$21 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$22 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $28 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $27 +$19 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$16 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $27 +$21 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $27 +$19 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$18 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $26 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $19 +$22 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 07 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 07 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 07 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 07 $22 +$35 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $34 +$26 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 06 $32 +$22 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 06 $34 +$26 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $20 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $24 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $28 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $0 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $27 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -1.0% -10.4% 56% 56% -13.3%
≤30d 154 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 60% -7.9%
≤90d 161 +8.2% -2.1% 62% 62% -7.7%
all 161 +8.2% -2.1% 62% 62% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.1% 62% -7.7%
10% -11.5% 62% -16.5%
15% -20.0% 62% -24.6%
20% -27.9% 62% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 482 history records