trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 50% | 50% | +90.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 50% | 50% | +90.0% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 50% | 50% | +90.0% |
| all | 2 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 50% | 50% | +90.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +13.9% | 50% | +90.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +3.0% | 50% | +71.8% |
| 15% | -6.9% | 50% | +55.2% |
| 20% | -16.1% | 50% | +40.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $567 | $465 | −$102 (-18%) |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $99 | $33 | −$66 (-66%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $25 | +$38 | +152% |