Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3029…0805
politics · 3 markets active 9d ago
2.0score
+$15,705 +103%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,859 · open −$154
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,135
Realized+$15,859
Unrealized−$154
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5,066
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$15,859
30 days+$15,859
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1,289 $1,135 −$154 (-12%)
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Yes 1¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $7,019 −$149 -2%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $6,857 +$16,009 +234%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 91% +$15,859
other 9% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 1¢ $6 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 0¢ $93 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 1¢ $8 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 1¢ $47 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $1,784 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $1,940 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $9,185 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $8,149 8d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 97¢ $23,166 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 23¢ $1,120 14d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 38¢ $12 18d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 38¢ $467 18d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 38¢ $15 18d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 38¢ $545 18d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 37¢ $13 18d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 37¢ $574 18d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 37¢ $1,194 18d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 36¢ $2,182 18d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $297 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $1 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $4 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $1 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $2 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $11 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $1 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $1 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $133 22d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 21¢ $14 22d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 21¢ $500 23d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY Yes 21¢ $1 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +66.7% +50.9% 50% 50% +195.3%
≤90d 2 +66.7% +50.9% 50% 50% +195.3%
all 2 +66.7% +50.9% 50% 50% +195.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.9% 50% +195.3%
10% ← realistic here +36.4% 50% +167.0%
15% +23.2% 50% +141.2%
20% +11.2% 50% +117.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,135.10 · official $1,135.10 (match) · 121 history records