trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 50% | 0% | -20.7% |
| all | 15 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 53% | 40% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 40% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 40% | -22.6% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 40% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 33% | -37.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 84¢ | 82¢ | $168 | $165 | −$3 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $58 | $57 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17? | Apr 09 | $61 | −$8 | -13% |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, | Apr 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Mar 04 | $129 | +$1 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Dec 07 | $423 | −$423 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Canadiens | Dec 03 | $3,300 | −$3,300 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | Dec 03 | $1,420 | +$580 | +41% |
| Lightning vs. Islanders | Dec 03 | $611 | +$689 | +113% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | Dec 03 | $455 | −$455 | -100% |
| Cardinals vs. Buccaneers | Nov 30 | $444 | −$444 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Nov 30 | $1,280 | +$1,920 | +150% |
| Celtics vs. Timberwolves | Nov 29 | $756 | −$756 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Lions | Nov 29 | $600 | +$900 | +150% |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Nov 27 | $704 | +$896 | +127% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 15 | $880 | −$880 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Nov 15 | $870 | +$630 | +72% |