Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:17:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x300b…623f
crypto · 860 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses540 / 313
Open positions7
Markets (closed)853 / 860
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day338.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 853 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+96%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+85%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+67%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+52%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 54¢ 72¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 54¢ 64¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 80¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 60¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$40
other 2% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 853 +2.8% -6.9% 63% 62% -9.4%
≤30d 853 +2.8% -6.9% 63% 62% -9.4%
≤90d 853 +2.8% -6.9% 63% 62% -9.4%
all 853 +2.8% -6.9% 63% 62% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover338.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 62% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 58% -18.1%
15% -24.0% 52% -26.0%
20% -31.4% 42% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.80 · official $58.80 (match) · 1745 history records