Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3008…3c76
crypto · 730 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses305 / 424
Open positions1
Markets (closed)729 / 730
History coverage9d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day311.6
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 729 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$3
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 64¢ 84¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 +6.1% -4.0% 41% 31% -9.4%
≤30d 729 +2.6% -7.2% 42% 32% -9.2%
≤90d 729 +2.6% -7.2% 42% 32% -9.2%
all 729 +2.6% -7.2% 42% 32% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover311.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 32% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 22% -17.8%
15% -24.2% 15% -25.8%
20% -31.6% 10% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.10 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records