Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ffe…a60f
sports · 222 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,987 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,974 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$117
Realized−$12,974
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses178 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$327
Open positions2
Markets (closed)220 / 222
History coverage96d
Avg bet$1,243
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 220 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53
7 days−$53
14 days−$53
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 84¢ 66¢ $146 $116 −$30 (-21%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs MIBR 96¢ 0¢ $10,433 $0 −$10,433 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $111 +$7 +6%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $104 +$8 +7%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $181 −$77 -43%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $171 +$11 +6%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $10,446 −$10,433 -100%
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakov Apr 09 $10,149 +$298 +3%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev Apr 08 $1,006 −$849 -84%
Campinas: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Facundo Acosta Apr 08 $1,430 +$27 +2%
Campinas: Johan Nikles vs Valerio Aboian Apr 07 $1,183 +$61 +5%
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Reda Bennani Apr 07 $1,377 +$40 +3%
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Michael Mmoh Apr 07 $1,335 +$42 +3%
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolut Apr 07 $1,306 +$30 +2%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger Apr 07 $1,231 +$75 +6%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller Apr 07 $1,092 +$91 +8%
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko Apr 07 $1,051 +$41 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 07 $1,030 +$21 +2%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S Apr 07 $1,004 +$25 +2%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Pa Apr 06 $1,505 −$1,505 -100%
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardy Apr 05 $1,392 +$112 +8%
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtseva Apr 05 $1,354 +$38 +3%
Sao Leopoldo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien Apr 05 $1,237 +$117 +10%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilo Apr 05 $1,201 +$36 +3%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Lin Apr 05 $1,179 +$22 +2%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Apr 05 $1,112 +$66 +6%
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Raul Brancaccio Apr 05 $1,013 +$99 +10%
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Tung-Lin Wu Apr 05 $1,358 −$1,350 -99%
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva Apr 03 $1,267 +$91 +7%
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkate Apr 03 $1,150 +$96 +8%
Copa Colsanitas: Emiliana Arango vs Varvara Lepchenko Apr 03 $1,133 +$21 +2%
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskaya Apr 03 $1,049 +$101 +10%
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic Apr 03 $2,012 −$2,012 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Assche Apr 03 $1,422 −$1,371 -96%
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Apr 03 $1,125 +$297 +26%
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena Apr 03 $1,004 +$121 +12%
Barletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuel Apr 03 $1,779 +$233 +13%
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Kenin Apr 03 $1,625 +$154 +10%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy Apr 02 $1,500 +$125 +8%
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar Apr 02 $1,414 +$86 +6%
Credit One Charleston Open: Renata Zarazua vs Yulia Starodubtseva Apr 02 $1,236 +$178 +14%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoor Apr 02 $1,103 +$133 +12%
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider Apr 02 $1,004 +$99 +10%
Copa Colsanitas: Guiomar Maristany vs Emiliana Arango Apr 02 $2,122 +$62 +3%
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kessler Apr 02 $1,751 +$371 +21%
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencic Apr 02 $1,702 +$49 +3%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac Apr 02 $1,538 +$164 +11%
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jones Apr 02 $1,390 +$148 +11%
Miyazaki: Tung-Lin Wu vs Paul Jubb Apr 02 $1,256 +$134 +11%
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Kenin Apr 01 $1,110 +$146 +13%
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic Apr 01 $1,057 +$53 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$13,077
crypto 1% −$63
other 0% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 84¢ $147 42m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren SELL Toby Samuel 100¢ $147 49m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 88¢ $131 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $118 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $111 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 99¢ $112 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 92¢ $104 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 52¢ $104 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 89¢ $181 2h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 86¢ $5 4h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 91¢ $5 4h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse SELL Barbora Krejcikova 99¢ $182 4h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 93¢ $171 4h
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs BUY MIBR 96¢ $10,446 64d
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakov SELL Stefan Dostanic 100¢ $10,447 64d
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakov BUY Stefan Dostanic 97¢ $10,149 64d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev SELL Cristian Garin 14¢ $157 65d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev BUY Cristian Garin 90¢ $1,006 65d
Campinas: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Facundo Acosta SELL Facundo Acosta 100¢ $1,457 65d
Campinas: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Facundo Acosta BUY Facundo Acosta 98¢ $1,430 65d
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Reda Bennani SELL Yibing Wu 100¢ $1,417 65d
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Reda Bennani BUY Yibing Wu 97¢ $1,377 65d
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Michael Mmoh SELL James Duckworth 100¢ $1,377 65d
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Michael Mmoh BUY James Duckworth 97¢ $1,335 65d
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolut SELL Dortmund eSports 99¢ $1,336 65d
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolut BUY Dortmund eSports 97¢ $1,306 65d
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger SELL Lilli Tagger 100¢ $1,306 65d
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger BUY Lilli Tagger 94¢ $1,231 65d
Campinas: Johan Nikles vs Valerio Aboian SELL Johan Nikles 100¢ $1,231 66d
Campinas: Johan Nikles vs Valerio Aboian BUY Johan Nikles 95¢ $1,183 66d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -5.8% -14.8% 60% 0% -17.8%
≤30d 5 -5.8% -14.8% 60% 0% -17.8%
≤90d 184 -10.9% -19.4% 78% 19% -13.9%
all 220 -5.6% -14.6% 81% 26% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 26% -13.8%
10% -22.7% 12% -22.0%
15% -30.2% 6% -29.6%
20% -37.1% 5% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.07 · official $117.07 (match) · 461 history records