Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ffd…d99f
sports · 1297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$53 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses730 / 535
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions32
Markets (closed)1265 / 1297
History coverage16d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day156.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 32 History 1265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$35
14 days−$88
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 81¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 64¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 54¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+85%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 65¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+53%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Vitality 69¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 53¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+24%)
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 55¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Under 76¢ 77¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Oksana Selekhmeteva 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Mika Stojsavljevic 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 79¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 65¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 81¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$2 +206%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 −$10 -78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 +$5 +41%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Spread: Spain (-3.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$68
other 17% +$27
weather 1% −$2
crypto 0% −$4
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 69¢ $3 3m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 50¢ $3 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 65¢ $2 25m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 42¢ $3 36m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 47m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 68¢ $1 50m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 55m
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 46¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $1 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimo BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 51¢ $2 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Over 61¢ $1 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic BUY Mika Stojsavljevic 51¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 59¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 58¢ $2 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $3 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 32¢ $1 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $1 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 25¢ $1 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $1 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $2 5h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -4.0% -13.2% 56% 54% -12.0%
≤30d 1265 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -11.1%
≤90d 1265 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -11.1%
all 1265 -1.3% -10.7% 58% 56% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 56% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 52% -19.6%
15% -27.0% 36% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 23% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.76 · official $63.46 (match) · 3500 history records