Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ff7…5c5a
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$6 -65%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +113%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$6
other 22% $0
sports 11% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 80¢ $1 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-38.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -32.5% -38.9% 40% 40% -65.8%
≤30d 5 -32.5% -38.9% 40% 40% -65.8%
≤90d 5 -32.5% -38.9% 40% 40% -65.8%
all 5 -32.5% -38.9% 40% 40% -65.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.9% 40% -65.8%
10% -44.8% 40% -69.1%
15% -50.1% 20% -72.0%
20% -55.0% 20% -74.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records