Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:34:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ff7…bf32
sports · 289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,845 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,759 · open −$86
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$967
Realized−$3,759
Unrealized−$86
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses152 / 124
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$1,202
Open positions13
Markets (closed)276 / 289
History coverage7d
Avg bet$331
Trades / day451.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 13 History 276 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,665
7 days−$3,969
14 days−$3,759
30 days−$3,759
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $183 $160 −$23 (-13%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 38¢ $264 $160 −$104 (-40%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 58¢ 80¢ $114 $156 +$43 (+38%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $125 $126 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 56¢ $114 $113 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 42¢ $78 $80 +$3 (+4%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $83 $80 −$3 (-3%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 56¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 30¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? No 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 61¢ 64¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 53¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Colorado Rockies 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 53¢ 0¢ $551 $0 −$551 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 57¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $1,607 $0 −$1,607 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner GOAL 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 30¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 40¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $143 +$157 +109%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,535 +$1,104 +72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $629 +$274 +44%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $122 −$121 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $385 −$385 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 +$50 +40%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $111 −$109 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $26 +$4 +18%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$94 +47%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $4,886 −$4,855 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $92 +$78 +85%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $567 −$565 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2,546 −$2,519 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $143 −$142 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,716 −$2,707 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $955 +$674 +71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $990 −$889 -90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $337 +$322 +96%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $639 +$414 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $264 −$14 -5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $466 −$456 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $554 −$341 -62%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $308 −$308 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,623 −$1,607 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $136 −$134 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $306 +$35 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $770 −$762 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $351 −$344 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $148 +$252 +170%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $115 +$85 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $874 +$472 +54%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $609 +$151 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $203 −$21 -10%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $14 +$6 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$14 -38%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 +$11 +17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $60 −$59 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $179 +$94 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $850 +$605 +71%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $208 +$71 +34%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$4 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$3,900
other 1% +$33
crypto 0% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $72 5m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 64¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $19 5m
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 10m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 15m
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $4 26m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 60¢ $1 35m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $3 38m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $9 38m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $7 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $73 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $4 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $28 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $10 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $4 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 6h
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY Yes 63¢ $113 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 48¢ $120 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -2.7% -12.0% 55% 51% -13.3%
≤30d 276 -2.1% -11.4% 55% 51% -13.1%
≤90d 276 -2.1% -11.4% 55% 51% -13.1%
all 276 -2.1% -11.4% 55% 51% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover451.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 51% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 46% -21.4%
15% -27.6% 39% -29.0%
20% -34.7% 30% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $966.53 · official $966.55 (match) · 3500 history records