trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -51.3% | -56.0% | 22% | 22% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -51.3% | -56.0% | 22% | 22% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -51.3% | -56.0% | 22% | 22% | -6.9% |
| all | 9 | -51.3% | -56.0% | 22% | 22% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.0% | 22% | -6.9% |
| 10% | -60.2% | 22% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -64.0% | 11% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -67.6% | 11% | -31.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 74¢ | 42¢ | $75 | $43 | −$32 (-43%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $94 | +$23 | +24% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $1 | +$1 | +140% |
| World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | Jun 24 | $4 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 19? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$1 | -94% |