Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T14:15:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2F 0x2f89…14e8 crypto 271 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (245 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$519 (-4%) realized −$519 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +108% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +60% what you keep after slip
Net edge+60%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate86%232W / 39L
Drawdown88%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day245.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$367
14 days+$105
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$104
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (245 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)+88.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +104.0% +84.6% 83% 12% -16.1%
≤30d 271 +108.3% +88.5% 86% 10% -14.1%
≤90d 271 +108.3% +88.5% 86% 10% -14.1%
all 271 +108.3% +88.5% 86% 10% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover245.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +88.5% 10% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here +70.5% 8% -22.3%
15% +54.0% 8% -29.8%
20% +38.9% 8% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +108% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +126% → late +91% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$25 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$519
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses232 / 39
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)271 / 271
History coverage10d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day245.4
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 271 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $192 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $266 −$17 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $200 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $100 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $200 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $120 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 26 $60 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 26 $40 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$23 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $83 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $76 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 24 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $109 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $162 −$145 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $165 −$161 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $66 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $290 −$54 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $216 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $189 +$22 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $451 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $127 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $166 −$164 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $45 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2769 history records