Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:29:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f85…7e32
crypto · 1675 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1564 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1675 / 1675
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day241.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$17
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1477 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 19% -9.1%
≤30d 1675 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 19% -9.3%
≤90d 1675 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 19% -9.3%
all 1675 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 19% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover241.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 19% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 6% -18.0%
15% -25.7% 2% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records