Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f79…b509
crypto · 49 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$7 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses36 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day36.3
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +13.4% +2.6% 73% 69% +1.3%
≤30d 49 +13.4% +2.6% 73% 69% +1.3%
≤90d 49 +13.4% +2.6% 73% 69% +1.3%
all 49 +13.4% +2.6% 73% 69% +1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.6% 69% +1.3%
10% ← realistic here -7.2% 63% -8.4%
15% -16.2% 51% -17.2%
20% -24.4% 20% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 103 history records