Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f62…2aa3
crypto · 790 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$455 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$445 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$445
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses458 / 365
Open positions1
Markets (closed)823 / 790
History coverage5d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day591.2
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 823 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$155
7 days+$445
14 days+$445
30 days+$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 74¢ $23 $32 +$10 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +886%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +876%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +2494%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$54 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $268 −$12 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $437 −$40 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $127 −$27 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $270 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$19 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$12 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$675
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $23 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $30 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $27 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $14 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 823 +17.6% +6.4% 56% 43% -8.5%
≤30d 823 +17.6% +6.4% 56% 43% -8.5%
≤90d 823 +17.6% +6.4% 56% 43% -8.5%
all 823 +17.6% +6.4% 56% 43% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover591.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.4% 43% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -3.7% 31% -17.3%
15% -13.0% 22% -25.3%
20% -21.6% 16% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.78 · official $31.46 · 3500 history records