trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +85.8% | +68.1% | 100% | 67% | +87.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +47.8% | +33.7% | 67% | 56% | +61.1% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 33% | 30% | +14.0% |
| all | 30 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 33% | 30% | +14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.9% | 30% | +14.0% |
| 10% | -38.4% | 23% | +3.0% |
| 15% | -44.4% | 20% | -6.9% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 17% | -16.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $100 | $85 | −$15 (-15%) |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $90 | $85 | −$5 (-6%) |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $63 | $0 | −$62 (-99%) |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-64%) |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Jun 23 | $263 | +$291 | +111% |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | Jun 22 | $260 | +$367 | +141% |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026- | Jun 20 | $93 | +$5 | +6% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 14 | $88 | −$8 | -9% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $110 | +$190 | +172% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 06 | $84 | −$82 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $52 | −$20 | -39% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $64 | +$42 | +66% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $154 | +$125 | +81% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $19 | −$2 | -8% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $18 | +$3 | +18% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 07 | $8 | −$1 | -12% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 05 | $32 | −$22 | -67% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $276 | −$140 | -51% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $20 | +$7 | +38% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 03 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $87 | −$85 | -97% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 26 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $8 | +$2 | +32% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $61 | −$46 | -76% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 21 | $4 | −$3 | -67% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 21 | $75 | $0 | -1% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $43 | +$7 | +16% |