Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f55…8956
sports · 578 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$4,572 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,234 · open −$662
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,847
Realized+$5,234
Unrealized−$662
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses379 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$2,388
Open positions29
Markets (closed)549 / 578
History coverage7d
Avg bet$513
Trades / day225.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 29 History 549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,974
7 days+$4,914
14 days+$5,234
30 days+$5,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 78¢ 100¢ $1,169 $1,507 +$338 (+29%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 88¢ 100¢ $1,049 $1,193 +$144 (+14%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 63¢ 46¢ $858 $632 −$226 (-26%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $370 $366 −$4 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 66¢ 79¢ $234 $280 +$46 (+20%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 94¢ $204 $276 +$72 (+35%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 71¢ 66¢ $232 $218 −$13 (-6%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $201 $200 −$1 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $173 $172 −$1 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 60¢ 54¢ $193 $172 −$21 (-11%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 50¢ 48¢ $149 $142 −$7 (-5%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $116 $116 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $107 $107 +$1 (+1%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 57¢ $87 $86 −$1 (-1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 36¢ 34¢ $90 $83 −$7 (-8%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 32¢ 30¢ $83 $79 −$4 (-5%)
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 76¢ $13 $24 +$11 (+85%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 78¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+47%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 63¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+85%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 74¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+63%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 78¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+53%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 52¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+91%)
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 52¢ $7 $14 +$6 (+86%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 86¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+24%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 80¢ $9 $14 +$4 (+49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1,158 +$72 +6%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $294 −$294 -100%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $482 +$308 +64%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $868 −$868 -100%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $233 −$13 -5%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 12 $461 −$13 -3%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1,421 −$4 -0%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $999 +$167 +17%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1,615 −$991 -61%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $205 +$207 +101%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $844 +$892 +106%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1,257 −$71 -6%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1,325 −$323 -24%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $1,173 $0 -0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,726 −$1,726 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,618 +$609 +38%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,724 +$566 +33%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $307 +$57 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $310 −$310 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $400 +$195 +49%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,395 −$70 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $773 −$47 -6%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,073 +$126 +12%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $1,072 +$53 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2,123 −$116 -6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $81 +$46 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $319 +$125 +39%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $400 +$88 +22%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $326 +$186 +57%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,100 +$59 +5%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $257 +$79 +31%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $785 +$97 +12%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $239 −$6 -2%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $317 −$5 -2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $629 −$29 -5%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $548 −$16 -3%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 11 $690 −$12 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $756 +$261 +34%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $241 +$12 +5%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,602 +$62 +4%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $461 +$121 +26%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1,087 −$372 -34%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $306 +$3 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $579 +$13 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,230 −$308 -14%
Spread: South Africa (-2.5) Jun 11 $149 +$1 +0%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $176 +$39 +22%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $479 +$39 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$3,877
other 11% +$668
crypto 0% −$69
world 0% +$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ $206 21m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 60¢ $195 27m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 85¢ $210 37m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 95¢ $240 44m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $215 47m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 66¢ $237 50m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 80¢ $278 51m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 90¢ $186 55m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 99¢ $189 56m
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 44¢ $221 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Japan 74¢ $448 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 98¢ $1,417 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 45¢ $154 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 51¢ $139 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $190 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 83¢ $201 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 82¢ $229 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $229 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $321 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $838 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 40¢ $274 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $194 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 77¢ $152 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $189 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 84¢ $210 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 57¢ $146 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 73¢ $178 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 81¢ $145 3h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 81¢ $276 3h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 65¢ $218 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 546 +3.9% -6.0% 69% 47% -8.0%
≤30d 549 +4.1% -5.8% 69% 47% -7.9%
≤90d 549 +4.1% -5.8% 69% 47% -7.9%
all 549 +4.1% -5.8% 69% 47% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover225.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 47% -7.9%
10% -14.8% 35% -16.7%
15% ← realistic here -23.1% 26% -24.8%
20% -30.6% 18% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,846.90 · official $5,846.93 (match) · 2205 history records