Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f46…85c0
sports · 1149 markets active 0h ago
6.5score
+$7,520 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,588 · open −$68
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,318
Realized+$7,588
Unrealized−$68
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses687 / 456
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$2,036
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1143 / 1149
History coverage67d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day31.9
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 1143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$383
7 days+$2,385
14 days−$1,632
30 days+$5,134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $792 $798 +$6 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 54¢ 100¢ $148 $276 +$128 (+86%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ 60¢ $198 $196 −$2 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 50¢ 50¢ $48 $48 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 53¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 46¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 70¢ 0¢ $348 $0 −$348 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals No 54¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever Indiana Fever 69¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) G2 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 55¢ 0¢ $1,138 $0 −$1,138 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 59¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 58¢ 0¢ $433 $0 −$433 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 62¢ 0¢ $276 $0 −$276 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha Leviatán Esports 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 69¢ 0¢ $594 $0 −$594 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Avalanche 61¢ 0¢ $397 $0 −$397 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 78¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner Winthrop University 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 60¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$39 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $42 −$41 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $300 +$82 +27%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$25 -13%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $144 −$142 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $445 +$101 +23%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $166 −$34 -21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,157 +$420 +36%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $99 +$112 +114%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $172 +$142 +83%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $28 +$28 +97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $250 +$125 +50%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $500 −$495 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $209 +$110 +53%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $403 +$354 +88%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $66 −$65 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $160 −$158 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $209 +$200 +96%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$73 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$123 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $49 +$29 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $49 +$30 +62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $454 +$295 +65%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $49 +$44 +90%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $159 +$96 +60%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $19 −$19 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $65 −$64 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $41 −$40 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $30 +$25 +83%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $44 +$39 +90%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $25 +$19 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $25 +$22 +86%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $35 −$35 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $100 −$98 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $29 −$29 -98%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $61 −$40 -66%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $372 +$10 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $428 +$306 +71%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $224 +$102 +46%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $273 +$267 +98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $219 +$250 +114%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $674 +$423 +63%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $60 +$56 +93%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $472 +$228 +48%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $99 +$76 +76%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $390 +$206 +53%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $299 −$78 -26%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $448 +$186 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$7,138
other 1% +$507
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $200 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $202 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $50 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $49 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $200 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 54¢ $100 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $168 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $230 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 53¢ $188 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 34¢ $15 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 46¢ $40 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 50¢ $31 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 55¢ $74 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 65¢ $174 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $200 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $144 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $131 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $35 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $131 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $300 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 81¢ $445 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 87¢ $45 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $202 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $99 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $200 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 71¢ $199 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 81¢ $458 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $99 25h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 54¢ $172 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +2.7% -7.1% 59% 58% +5.4%
≤30d 423 +1.1% -8.5% 61% 60% -5.7%
≤90d 1143 +2.3% -7.5% 60% 59% -5.4%
all 1143 +2.3% -7.5% 60% 59% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 59% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 56% -14.5%
15% -24.4% 48% -22.7%
20% -31.8% 35% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,317.93 · official $1,317.93 (match) · 2879 history records