Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f46…4baa
other · 7 markets active 44d ago
1.0score
+$87,209 +54%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$87,209 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$87,209
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage12d
Avg bet$23,074
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? May 01 $46,859 +$141 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Apr 29 $46,921 +$89 +0%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 25 $116 +$1 +1%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 25 $967 +$12 +1%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? Apr 25 $3,998 +$78,916 +1974%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? Apr 19 $11,574 +$1,232 +11%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 17 $51,082 +$6,817 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 39% +$8,050
economics 29% +$89
world 29% +$141
other 3% +$78,929
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $46,859 43d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee BUY Yes 100¢ $46,911 43d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee BUY Yes 100¢ $10 43d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 90¢ $171 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 98¢ $147 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 87¢ $1,071 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $1,000 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $162 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 85¢ $125 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $92 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $227 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $110 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 95¢ $118 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 98¢ $49 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 96¢ $106 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 76¢ $70 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 5¢ $2 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 2¢ $20 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 51¢ $256 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026? BUY No 97¢ $273 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of April 20 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $421 48d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of April 20 2026? BUY Yes 97¢ $242 52d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of April 20 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $188 53d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of April 20 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $116 53d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of April 20 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $116 53d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $69 55d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $225 55d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? BUY Yes 90¢ $5,547 55d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? BUY Yes 95¢ $4,459 55d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? BUY Yes 95¢ $291 55d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+249.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 7 +285.8% +249.1% 100% 43% +39.3%
all 7 +285.8% +249.1% 100% 43% +39.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +249.1% 43% +39.3%
10% ← realistic here +215.7% 14% +26.0%
15% +185.2% 14% +13.8%
20% +157.2% 14% +2.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 65 history records