Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:09:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f32…ada6
crypto · 226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,909 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses208 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage3d
Avg bet$154
Trades / day1275.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$789
7 days−$124
14 days−$124
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $366 $0 −$366 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $90 −$28 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $90 +$38 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $153 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $111 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $74 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $257 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $366 −$366 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$74 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $139 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $173 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $355 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $261 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $404 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $238 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $87 −$51 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $257 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $143 +$43 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $499 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $331 +$19 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 +3.4% -6.5% 92% 6% -9.8%
≤30d 226 +3.4% -6.5% 92% 6% -9.8%
≤90d 226 +3.4% -6.5% 92% 6% -9.8%
all 226 +3.4% -6.5% 92% 6% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1275.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 6% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 4% -18.5%
15% -23.6% 2% -26.4%
20% -31.1% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records