trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -36.4% | -42.4% | 0% | 0% | -51.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -36.4% | -42.4% | 0% | 0% | -51.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 44% | 44% | +6.3% |
| all | 12 | +35.1% | +22.3% | 58% | 50% | +12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.3% | 50% | +12.8% |
| 10% | +10.6% | 50% | +2.0% |
| 15% | -0.1% | 42% | -7.9% |
| 20% | -9.9% | 42% | -16.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 67¢ | 98¢ | $391 | $574 | +$182 (+46%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 64¢ | 1¢ | $288 | $4 | −$284 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 15 | $212 | −$153 | -72% |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$23 | -23% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $95 | −$13 | -14% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | May 12 | $284 | +$499 | +176% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | May 04 | $378 | −$378 | -100% |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | Apr 06 | $78 | +$140 | +179% |
| Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? ( | Apr 02 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $59 | +$86 | +148% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Mar 26 | $235 | +$162 | +69% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Mar 02 | $104 | +$132 | +127% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | Jan 02 | $70 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $285 | +$87 | +30% |