Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2efb…c471
crypto · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses220 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)303 / 303
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day102.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 303 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 53% -12.5%
≤30d 303 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 53% -12.5%
≤90d 303 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 53% -12.5%
all 303 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 53% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 53% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 37% -20.9%
15% -28.0% 21% -28.5%
20% -35.1% 13% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 690 history records