Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T01:43:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2efb…9537 crypto 40 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$33 (+1%) realized +$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate68%27W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$61per market
Trades / day52.5pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$61
other 4% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 48% -6.9%
≤30d 40 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 48% -6.9%
≤90d 40 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 48% -6.9%
all 40 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 48% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 48% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 42% -15.8%
15% -27.2% 32% -23.9%
20% -34.3% 28% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$15 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.36 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses27 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage2d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $185 +$15 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $194 +$6 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$12 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$4 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $22 +$18 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$20 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$7 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $34 −$14 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $180 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $162 +$27 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $420 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $65 +$35 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$12 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$7 +52%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$39 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$12 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$7 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$24 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$19 -46%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $85 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $32 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 109 history records