trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 40% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 44% | 0% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 44% | 0% | -11.6% |
| all | 27 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 56% | 4% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 4% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 4% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $47 | −$9 | -19% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $52 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another show be the top global Netflix show this week? | Mar 18 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian | Mar 15 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February? | Mar 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 10 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech | Mar 06 | $14 | +$3 | +24% |
| Georgia vs. South Carolina | Mar 03 | $17 | −$4 | -21% |
| Holy Cross vs. Lafayette | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |