Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ee8…7208
sports · 84 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$62 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$52
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses50 / 28
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions2
Markets (closed)78 / 84
History coverage15d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 2 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$3
14 days+$8
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 22¢ $71 $31 −$40 (-57%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Denis Shapovalov 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $32 +$18 +55%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $41 −$35 -87%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $85 −$66 -78%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $36 +$20 +57%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $57 +$11 +20%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $50 +$7 +14%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $54 +$14 +25%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$13 +246%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$16 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $3 +$1 +16%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $16 +$1 +5%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $11 −$11 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $184 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +37%
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianu Jun 01 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +31%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $148 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -86%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 01 $54 +$24 +44%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 +$2 +55%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 31 $4 −$1 -23%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $2 −$1 -71%
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? May 31 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +115%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 31 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +57%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 31 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $28 +$6 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% +$96
other 31% −$75
crypto 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $60 32m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $60 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 91¢ $55 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $51 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 82¢ $45 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $49 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $22 4h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 8¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 14¢ $19 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $85 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 77¢ $56 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $36 6h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $68 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 83¢ $57 8h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $57 8h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $50 16h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 9¢ $5 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 17h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $12 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $25 18h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 18h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $18 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $33 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $5 33h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +12.1% +1.5% 72% 56% -9.1%
≤30d 78 +0.1% -9.4% 64% 49% -6.3%
≤90d 78 +0.1% -9.4% 64% 49% -6.3%
all 78 +0.1% -9.4% 64% 49% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 49% -6.3%
10% -18.1% 36% -15.3%
15% -26.0% 28% -23.4%
20% -33.2% 22% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.56 · official $44.56 (match) · 221 history records