Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ee5…bc7b
sports · 399 markets active 4h ago
3.0score
+$368 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$353 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$529
Realized+$353
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses172 / 206
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions21
Markets (closed)378 / 399
History coverage159d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 21 History 378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$123
14 days+$224
30 days+$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $110 $123 +$13 (+12%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $125 $115 −$10 (-8%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 71¢ 99¢ $56 $78 +$22 (+39%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 78¢ 60¢ $47 $36 −$10 (-22%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 30¢ 24¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-19%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 38¢ 54¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+42%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Under 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Hungary (-2.5) Jun 09 $10 +$4 +40%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $150 +$84 +56%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$2 +65%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $5 +$10 +197%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $1 +$3 +250%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $14 +$6 +42%
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) Jun 07 $6 +$4 +65%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $8 +$4 +55%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $30 +$10 +34%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $15 +$10 +67%
Will Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 +$4 +216%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$5 +165%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$10 +325%
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$6 +57%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR? Jun 05 $1 +$7 +650%
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 2 China PR? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? Jun 04 $3 +$8 +262%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 +$4 +124%
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $5 +$3 +52%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $8 +$3 +36%
Exact Score: Slovenia 2 - 1 Cyprus? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: Slovenia 3 - 2 Cyprus? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 03 $2 +$5 +238%
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 03 $2 +$6 +318%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 1 Denmark? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% −$42
sports 33% −$51
world 15% +$207
politics 15% +$272
crypto 2% −$12
finance 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 3h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 3h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Japan 75¢ $10 4h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $6 4h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $6 4h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 4h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 4h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 19h
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 21h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $9 21h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $9 22h
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $9 22h
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $9 22h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 68¢ $9 22h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $9 22h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $9 22h
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 22h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 22h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 22h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $1 22h
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 80¢ $1 22h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 68¢ $1 22h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 22h
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 22h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 22h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 22h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 22h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +22.6% +11.0% 52% 52% +23.0%
≤30d 214 -5.8% -14.7% 40% 39% -1.3%
≤90d 358 -1.9% -11.2% 45% 44% -8.3%
all 378 -2.0% -11.3% 46% 44% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 44% -4.2%
10% -19.8% 43% -13.4%
15% -27.5% 39% -21.7%
20% -34.6% 29% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $528.74 · official $529.03 (match) · 841 history records