Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:45:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ee3…ada1
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$31 +128%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$14 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+91.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +111.2% +91.1% 75% 75% +105.9%
≤30d 4 +111.2% +91.1% 75% 75% +105.9%
≤90d 4 +111.2% +91.1% 75% 75% +105.9%
all 4 +111.2% +91.1% 75% 75% +105.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +91.1% 75% +105.9%
10% +72.8% 75% +86.2%
15% +56.1% 75% +68.2%
20% +40.8% 75% +51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records