Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eda…2a0c
crypto · 152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses91 / 60
Open positions1
Markets (closed)151 / 152
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day141.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 95¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +131%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$52 +529%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 49% -5.9%
≤30d 151 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 49% -5.9%
≤90d 151 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 49% -5.9%
all 151 +5.0% -5.0% 60% 49% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 49% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 42% -14.9%
15% -22.4% 33% -23.2%
20% -30.0% 28% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.72 · official $4.62 (match) · 299 history records