Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ed9…f271
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$222 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$639 · open +$419
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$592
Realized−$639
Unrealized+$419
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses21 / 482
Open positions6
Markets (closed)503 / 240
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3491.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 503 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$639
7 days−$639
14 days−$639
30 days−$639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 2¢ 84¢ $4 $153 +$149 (+3712%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 3¢ 74¢ $6 $136 +$131 (+2291%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 3¢ 74¢ $4 $76 +$72 (+2020%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 3¢ 70¢ $3 $73 +$69 (+2162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 4¢ 100¢ $2 $63 +$61 (+2514%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 4¢ 100¢ $2 $63 +$61 (+2514%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $1 $11 +$10 (+1900%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 63¢ 77¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+1900%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-77%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1900%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 3¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+3233%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+3233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3232%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1899%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3232%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3232%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3231%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$61 +2514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$61 +2514%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$10 +1900%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1900%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1900%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3238%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +74%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +3246%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1910%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +3253%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +3238%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +3259%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$865
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-41.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -35.0% -41.2% 4% 4% -56.0%
≤30d 503 -35.0% -41.2% 4% 4% -56.0%
≤90d 503 -35.0% -41.2% 4% 4% -56.0%
all 503 -35.0% -41.2% 4% 4% -56.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3491.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.2% 4% -56.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.8% 4% -60.2%
15% -52.0% 4% -64.1%
20% -56.7% 4% -67.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $591.55 · official $587.74 (match) · 3500 history records