Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ed5…e533
crypto · 1683 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1472 / 211
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1683 / 1683
History coverage80d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$13
14 days−$7
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 84¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$86
sports 0% −$1
world 0% $0
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -2.0% -11.4% 92% 11% -13.7%
≤30d 930 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 7% -9.2%
≤90d 1683 -0.6% -10.1% 87% 31% -11.3%
all 1683 -0.6% -10.1% 87% 31% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 31% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 13% -19.8%
15% -26.6% 4% -27.5%
20% -33.8% 3% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records