Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:44:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ed3…274c
sports · 907 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$92
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,310
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$92
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses449 / 403
Est. fees paid−$213
Open positions57
Markets (closed)852 / 907
History coverage11d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day221.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 57 History 852 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$192
7 days+$90
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 28¢ 81¢ $62 $175 +$113 (+184%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $93 $96 +$3 (+4%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ 32¢ $94 $93 −$1 (-2%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 28¢ 23¢ $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $71 $72 +$1 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $62 $64 +$2 (+3%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 60¢ 74¢ $37 $46 +$9 (+24%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $37 $38 +$1 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $38 $35 −$3 (-7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 19¢ 26¢ $22 $29 +$7 (+33%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 44¢ $40 $26 −$14 (-35%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $25 $26 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 62¢ $23 $24 +$0 (+2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 54¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+8%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 32¢ 32¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $16 +$25 +155%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $75 −$28 -37%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $32 +$16 +51%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $19 +$22 +114%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $40 −$17 -44%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $1 +$2 +134%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $35 +$14 +39%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $13 +$4 +30%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $20 +$15 +72%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $25 −$4 -17%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $24 −$4 -18%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $3 +$3 +104%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $89 +$21 +23%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 −$89 -88%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $50 −$26 -52%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 −$45 -44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $85 +$29 +34%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $44 +$15 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $101 +$14 +14%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 −$1 -20%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $61 −$8 -13%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $24 −$18 -73%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $21 −$4 -17%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $16 +$5 +29%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $9 +$8 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$54
other 10% −$70
crypto 0% +$2
world 0% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 81¢ $2 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 5¢ $2 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 5¢ $2 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 62¢ $24 7m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 29¢ $2 11m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $14 19m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $1 23m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 50¢ $3 26m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 33m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $5 33m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $1 44m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 47¢ $1 47m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 54m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $36 54m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 65¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 71¢ $2 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 47¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 65¢ $1 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 43¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 65¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 40¢ $16 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 36¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 67¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 81¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 79¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 591 -4.0% -13.1% 53% 52% -8.8%
≤30d 852 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 51% -9.5%
≤90d 852 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 51% -9.5%
all 852 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 51% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover221.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 51% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 46% -18.1%
15% -27.2% 35% -26.0%
20% -34.4% 27% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,310.39 · official $1,310.40 (match) · 3500 history records