Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2ed0…3173
sports · 782 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses317 / 451
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions14
Markets (closed)768 / 782
History coverage21d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 14 History 768 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days−$25
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 72¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+52%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 60¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+51%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 44¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 69¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-28%)
Blinkova vs. Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 8¢ 29¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+265%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 28¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-44%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 33¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-23%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 16¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-47%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Under 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Dakotah Bobo Dakotah Bobo 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Fluminense FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Katarina Kuzmova 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-10.5) PortlandFire 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +262%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $0 $0 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +48%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 05 $2 +$1 +27%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $4 −$1 -15%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel Jun 05 $4 −$1 -21%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $2 +$1 +32%
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatov Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Jun 05 $2 +$1 +57%
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran Jun 05 $4 +$1 +11%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 05 $5 $0 -2%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhova Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 05 $3 $0 -9%
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo Jun 05 $3 $0 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $3 $0 -12%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $2 +$3 +206%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $3 +$2 +92%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $0 $0 -97%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $2 −$1 -27%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 05 $3 +$2 +97%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $5 $0 +7%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $1 +$2 +114%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 Jun 05 $3 $0 +4%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $5 $0 -2%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 05 $2 +$3 +117%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$43
other 15% −$19
crypto 0% +$2
world 0% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 16¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 44¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 2h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 14h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Varvara Panshina 7¢ $0 18h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $2 19h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $1 19h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 65¢ $2 19h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY PortlandFire 1¢ $0 21h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 9¢ $0 26h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 26h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 51¢ $3 6d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 27¢ $1 6d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 67¢ $2 7d
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 20¢ $1 7d
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 7d
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbaj BUY Maria Timofeeva 78¢ $2 7d
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller BUY Marvin Moeller 19¢ $1 7d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola BUY Remy Bertola 32¢ $1 7d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola BUY Remy Bertola 32¢ $1 7d
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 21¢ $1 7d
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 35¢ $1 7d
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 35¢ $1 7d
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatov BUY Marco Cecchinato 38¢ $2 7d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 25¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +5.0% -5.0% 58% 58% +23.7%
≤30d 768 -11.7% -20.1% 41% 37% -12.5%
≤90d 768 -11.7% -20.1% 41% 37% -12.5%
all 768 -11.7% -20.1% 41% 37% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 37% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 34% -20.8%
15% -34.8% 28% -28.5%
20% -41.2% 22% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.49 · official $30.49 (match) · 1376 history records