trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | Up | 55¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? | Up | 63¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $15 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$16 | +160% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $47 | +$20 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +65.5% | +49.7% | 67% | 67% | +34.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +65.5% | +49.7% | 67% | 67% | +34.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 33% | 33% | +27.2% |
| all | 6 | -17.3% | -25.1% | 33% | 33% | +27.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.1% | 33% | +27.2% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 33% | +15.0% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 33% | +3.9% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 17% | -6.3% |