Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:05:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2eb9…0ba5 crypto 729 markets active 2d ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$30 (-1%) realized −$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate65%472W / 257L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day58.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$89
14 days−$480
30 days−$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$61
other 1% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -19.3% -27.0% 51% 51% -39.5%
≤30d 729 +2.4% -7.3% 65% 64% -11.8%
≤90d 729 +2.4% -7.3% 65% 64% -11.8%
all 729 +2.4% -7.3% 65% 64% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 64% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 64% -20.2%
15% -24.3% 62% -27.9%
20% -31.7% 53% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses472 / 257
Open positions0
Markets (closed)729 / 729
History coverage19d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 729 Trades
no open positions (227 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$8 +51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$8 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$5 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 44h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $5 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $5 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $5 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $6 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1606 history records