Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:35:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2eb7…076c crypto 787 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (152 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$678 (-3%) realized −$678 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate45%403W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day152.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,974
7 days−$2,539
14 days−$1,376
30 days−$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (152 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 509 -46.0% -51.1% 28% 28% -30.1%
≤30d 904 -15.9% -23.9% 45% 44% -8.7%
≤90d 904 -15.9% -23.9% 45% 44% -8.7%
all 904 -15.9% -23.9% 45% 44% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover152.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 44% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 44% -17.4%
15% -37.8% 44% -25.4%
20% -43.9% 40% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +26% → late -57% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$19 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$678
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses403 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)904 / 787
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day152.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 904 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$11 -9640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$10 -9633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$12 -3083%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$10 -9787%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$10 -9619%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $32 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records