Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eac…3cf9
crypto · 152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$146 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$106
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses55 / 95
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions2
Markets (closed)150 / 152
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day865.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$106
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 2¢ 0¢ $27 $1 −$27 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -22%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $91 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $55 −$2 -3%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $134 −$12 -9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $43 −$7 -15%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $45 −$4 -10%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $4 −$1 -20%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $31 −$1 -3%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $32 +$1 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $79 −$35 -44%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $21 −$8 -40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $84 −$4 -4%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $10 −$4 -37%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$115
crypto 18% −$20
other 9% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $11 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $12 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $14 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 34¢ $2 35m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Petr Brunclik 5¢ $62 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 45¢ $7 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 54¢ $9 35m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Benjamin Bonzi 8¢ $3 35m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Leyre Romero Gormaz 7¢ $3 35m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 64¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 64¢ $2 35m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 93¢ $50 35m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Alicia Dudeney 11¢ $3 35m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan SELL Katie Swan 34¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Petr Brunclik 5¢ $2 35m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Petr Brunclik 5¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 62¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $5 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $2 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $5 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -9.2% -17.8% 37% 23% -17.3%
≤30d 150 -9.2% -17.8% 37% 23% -17.3%
≤90d 150 -9.2% -17.8% 37% 23% -17.3%
all 150 -9.2% -17.8% 37% 23% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover865.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 23% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 11% -25.2%
15% -32.9% 2% -32.4%
20% -39.5% 1% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.59 · official $0.59 (match) · 878 history records