Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eab…ca25
crypto · 815 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$569 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$569 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$569
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses608 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)815 / 815
History coverage251d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 815 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$10
14 days−$8
30 days−$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $283 $0 −$283 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$561
economics 0% +$1
other 0% +$2
finance 0% −$5
culture 0% −$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -4.6% -13.7% 68% 16% -13.7%
≤30d 765 -2.9% -12.1% 75% 22% -13.6%
≤90d 814 -3.5% -12.7% 75% 22% -17.2%
all 815 -3.6% -12.8% 75% 22% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 22% -17.2%
10% -21.1% 2% -25.1%
15% -28.7% 0% -32.4%
20% -35.7% 0% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1615 history records