trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 0% | 0% | -31.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 9% | 9% | -33.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 9% | 9% | -33.7% |
| all | 11 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 9% | 9% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.3% | 9% | -33.7% |
| 10% | -58.7% | 0% | -40.0% |
| 15% | -62.7% | 0% | -45.8% |
| 20% | -66.3% | 0% | -51.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $80 | $94 | +$14 (+18%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $12 | $22 | +$10 (+80%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$13 | -26% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$8 | -25% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Jun 06 | $11 | −$5 | -52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Jun 06 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Jun 06 | $56 | −$1 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Jun 06 | $25 | +$5 | +20% |