Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:43:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2E 0x2ea5…14d8 crypto 99 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (133 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate60%59W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day132.8pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 65% +$14
sports 23% −$68
other 11% −$60
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (133 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 34% -18.0%
≤30d 99 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 34% -18.0%
≤90d 99 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 34% -18.0%
all 99 -5.3% -14.3% 60% 34% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover132.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 34% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 19% -25.8%
15% -30.0% 11% -33.0%
20% -36.9% 8% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses59 / 40
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)99 / 99
History coverage3d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day132.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 99 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $21 +$12 +57%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $142 −$100 -71%
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway? Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $21 +$2 +10%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 17 $121 +$32 +26%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$2 -10%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Jun 16 $3 +$3 +133%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -68%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 15 $2 +$1 +70%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $7 −$6 -78%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $30 −$22 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$7 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 21m
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $33 1h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 99¢ $25 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 2h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 19¢ $42 2h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 63¢ $142 3h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 63¢ $11 3h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 3h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 4h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 4h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 5h
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway? BUY Yes 12¢ $8 5h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 79¢ $121 5h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 80¢ $9 7h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 7h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 10h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 28h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $6 28h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 75¢ $2 28h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 511 history records