trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 36¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $41 | +$19 | +47% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $61 | +$134 | +218% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $39 | −$17 | -44% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Al | Apr 03 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, | Apr 03 | $42 | −$2 | -6% |
| Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omeg | Apr 02 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 18% | 18% | +18.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 18% | 18% | +18.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 14% | 14% | -4.8% |
| all | 14 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 14% | 14% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 14% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 14% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 14% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 7% | -29.8% |