trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 46% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 46% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -7.2% | -16.1% | 56% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $82 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 29 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 28 | $36 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 27 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $8 | −$1 | -15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25? | Jun 27 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? | Jun 24 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 65°F or higher on March 19? | Mar 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 18 | $13 | $0 | -0% |