Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e94…80ff
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$2 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses13 / 14
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)27 / 29
History coverage12d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 83¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A Entropy 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs KOLESIE 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $12 −$2 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +84%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 +$4 +371%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe S Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: S Jun 04 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +86%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5 Jun 04 $3 $0 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -31%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$4 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$1
crypto 36% −$1
other 5% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $1 55m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $3 56m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 87¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 91¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 9¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 72¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 33¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 69¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 92¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 15¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 7¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL TheMongolz 12¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 80¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Washed 90¢ $5 7h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group SELL Sashi Academy 10¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Sashi Academy 13¢ $1 8h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 56¢ $3 19h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 20h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 92¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 19¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL SPARTA 51¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 27¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe S BUY KOLESIE 44¢ $3 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +66.3% +50.5% 56% 44% -1.1%
≤30d 27 +24.3% +12.5% 48% 33% -12.8%
≤90d 27 +24.3% +12.5% 48% 33% -12.8%
all 27 +24.3% +12.5% 48% 33% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.5% 33% -12.8%
10% +1.7% 33% -21.1%
15% -8.1% 33% -28.7%
20% -17.1% 33% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.89 · official $5.54 (match) · 72 history records