Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e92…c7bc
crypto · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$22 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses12 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$6 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 03 $17 +$15 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $32 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -33.2% -39.6% 36% 36% -62.8%
≤30d 27 -20.8% -28.4% 44% 44% -26.4%
≤90d 27 -20.8% -28.4% 44% 44% -26.4%
all 27 -20.8% -28.4% 44% 44% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.4% 44% -26.4%
10% -35.2% 41% -33.5%
15% -41.5% 37% -39.9%
20% -47.2% 26% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 52 history records