trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Kings | Kings | 39¢ | 0¢ | $11,700 | $0 | −$11,700 (-100%) |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Lakers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $23,030 | $0 | −$23,030 (-100%) |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Jazz | 31¢ | 0¢ | $17,719 | $0 | −$17,719 (-100%) |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Kings | 52¢ | 0¢ | $36,364 | $0 | −$36,364 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | Wizards | 19¢ | 0¢ | $37,396 | $0 | −$37,396 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Bucks | 27¢ | 0¢ | $25,920 | $0 | −$25,920 (-100%) |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Pacers | 52¢ | 0¢ | $4,518 | $0 | −$4,518 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 31¢ | 0¢ | $20,953 | $0 | −$20,953 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Nets | 18¢ | 0¢ | $20,000 | $0 | −$20,000 (-100%) |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1,090 | $0 | −$1,090 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Wizards | 12¢ | 0¢ | $25,044 | $0 | −$25,044 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 14 | $7,110 | +$12,890 | +181% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $245,508 | +$460,800 | +188% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 202 | Apr 19 | $1,090 | −$1,090 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Mar 01 | $25,044 | −$25,044 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Feb 27 | $25,920 | −$25,920 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Feb 27 | $85,900 | +$64,100 | +75% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Feb 26 | $17,719 | −$17,719 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Feb 26 | $20,000 | −$20,000 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 22 | $23,030 | −$23,030 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Feb 22 | $5,280 | +$16,720 | +317% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 06 | $11,700 | −$11,700 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Feb 06 | $4,518 | −$4,518 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Feb 06 | $11,000 | +$9,000 | +82% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Feb 05 | $36,364 | −$36,364 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Pacers | Feb 05 | $34,000 | +$16,000 | +47% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 02 | $13,563 | +$17,979 | +133% |
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Jan 27 | $20,953 | −$20,953 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-9.5) | Jan 27 | $14,543 | +$20,118 | +138% |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | Jan 24 | $37,396 | −$37,396 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jan 24 | $6,000 | +$48,545 | +809% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +184.5% | +157.4% | 100% | 100% | +160.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +184.5% | +157.4% | 100% | 100% | +160.1% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +89.7% | +71.6% | 67% | 67% | +159.0% |
| all | 20 | +43.5% | +29.8% | 45% | 45% | +52.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +29.8% | 45% | +52.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +17.4% | 45% | +37.8% |
| 15% | +6.0% | 45% | +24.5% |
| 20% | -4.4% | 40% | +12.3% |