Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e5b…d992
crypto · 133 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$126 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$120 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$228
Realized+$120
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses49 / 81
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)130 / 133
History coverage32d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$54
14 days+$150
30 days+$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $165 $168 +$4 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 89¢ 96¢ $52 $56 +$4 (+8%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30¢ 17¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 4? No 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jessica Pieri 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Pedro Boscardin Dias 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 28? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23? No 97¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Exact Score: Palestine 0 - 1 Kenya? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $85 on May 17? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? No 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7? No 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23? No 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 8? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Noemi Basiletti 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Lisa Pigato 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler McCartney Kessler 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Carlo Alberto Caniato 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Matias Soto 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Liudmila Samsonova 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 13 $152 +$1 +1%
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 11 $38 −$1 -2%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $912 +$88 +10%
Will Solana reach $100 in June? Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $58 +$12 +21%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $16 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $186 +$17 +9%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 09 $0 $0 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $0 $0 -97%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $11 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 -3%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 09 $19 $0 +2%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Ilkley: Ugo Blanchet vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? Jun 08 $19 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? Jun 08 $38 −$1 -2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $30 −$2 -6%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 $0 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 7? Jun 07 $41 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 −$2 -54%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 07 $3 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 6? Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 6? Jun 07 $21 $0 -1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 6? Jun 06 $24 −$1 -3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 6? Jun 06 $12 $0 -2%
Will Solana reach $65 on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 -10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 06 $8 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$103
sports 9% +$27
world 7% +$1
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $1 17m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $1 23m
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $2 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $2 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $6 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 96¢ $1 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? SELL No 97¢ $3 4h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $19 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $2 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $1 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 9h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 96¢ $2 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $1 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 74¢ $2 10h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 12h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -37.3% -43.2% 31% 6% -6.8%
≤30d 128 -22.3% -29.7% 38% 4% -8.4%
≤90d 130 -22.0% -29.4% 38% 4% -8.4%
all 130 -22.0% -29.4% 38% 4% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 4% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -36.2% 2% -17.2%
15% -42.3% 1% -25.2%
20% -48.0% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.67 · official $227.54 (match) · 1249 history records