trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $119 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 30 | $119 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 15 | $121 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 22 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 17 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $243 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 07 | $245 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 05 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 04 | $488 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 06 | $244 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $236 | $0 | -0% |
| Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 03 | $231 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 02 | $234 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 31 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 30 | $233 | $0 | -0% |