trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $171 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $82 | +$85 | +104% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $25 | +$10 | +41% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 09 | $46 | +$9 | +19% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 08 | $5 | +$6 | +117% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 62% | 62% | +15.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 62% | 62% | +15.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 62% | 62% | +15.2% |
| all | 8 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 62% | 62% | +15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.9% | 62% | +15.2% |
| 10% | +11.1% | 38% | +4.2% |
| 15% | +0.4% | 38% | -5.9% |
| 20% | -9.4% | 25% | -15.1% |