Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2e55…c549
crypto · 1051 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$81 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$84 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$84
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses583 / 466
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1049 / 1051
History coverage12d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day148.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1049 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$127
14 days+$84
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Down 57¢ 10¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-82%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Down 18¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +240%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 +11.6% +0.9% 55% 46% -2.9%
≤30d 1049 +6.6% -3.5% 56% 48% -7.6%
≤90d 1049 +6.6% -3.5% 56% 48% -7.6%
all 1049 +6.6% -3.5% 56% 48% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 48% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.7% 39% -16.5%
15% -21.2% 30% -24.6%
20% -28.9% 22% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.76 · official $0.76 (match) · 3500 history records