trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? | Jun 11 | $2,400 | +$3,204 | +134% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $219,863 | −$191,347 | -87% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $11,905 | −$9,430 | -79% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $15,984 | −$7,474 | -47% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | Jun 01 | $8,695 | +$2,862 | +33% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 01 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $9,499 | +$2,501 | +26% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | Jun 01 | $3,802 | +$398 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 29 | $16,295 | +$1,633 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 29 | $7,517 | +$2,030 | +27% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 29 | $23,953 | +$8,047 | +34% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 28 | $4,213 | +$1,375 | +33% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25? | May 26 | $4,477 | +$50 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | May 24 | $620 | −$620 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | May 04 | $9,715 | +$4,905 | +50% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | May 01 | $5,563 | +$2,537 | +46% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | May 01 | $17,826 | +$5,487 | +31% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | May 01 | $11,834 | +$13,295 | +112% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | May 01 | $17,816 | +$8,304 | +47% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | May 01 | $22,429 | +$21,448 | +96% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20? | Apr 20 | $1,463 | +$37 | +2% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | Apr 20 | $1,534 | +$2,423 | +158% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 15 | $4,917 | −$3,455 | -70% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Apr 15 | $4,555 | +$145 | +3% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13? | Apr 13 | $1,931 | +$69 | +4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | Apr 10 | $655 | +$205 | +31% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? | Apr 06 | $2,174 | +$1,026 | +47% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +133.5% | +111.3% | 100% | 100% | +111.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 64% | 43% | -60.9% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 78% | 56% | -36.9% |
| all | 27 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 78% | 56% | -36.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +5.6% | 56% | -36.9% |
| 10% | -4.5% | 56% | -42.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -13.7% | 30% | -48.4% |
| 20% | -22.2% | 19% | -53.5% |